The threads of lava moving toward Cemetary Road have almost stopped. The other finger, now the most active one, has left the steepest descent and is falling off to the north – which might put it right back on my originally predicted track. If I overlay a picture and topo in that direction, the path looks like it could, IF IT CONTINUES TO ADVANCE- A BIG ‘IF’, put it right through the back door of Malama Market. That’s almost the worst possible short-term outcome because it would muck up the shopping center and cut the road before Keonepoko and then, probably, cross Keonepoko twice more.
As an aside, all of the people who were complaining about the horrible but occasional emissions from the Geothermal plant may get their wish. If the lava keeps coming the plant could be shut down. They can now contemplate the eventual inevitability of living with SO2 constantly blowing in their faces if – and as long as – the lava flows past 130 as well as certain inconveniences – such as using Chain-of-craters Road to get anywhere, no power for awhile, or cable or much of anything else – including county services and jobs if they work in Hilo or Pahoa. And if it doesn’t come THIS time, it will at some point. Be careful what you wish for.
Here is the latest map. As of now, MY INTERPRETATION of the two most likely crossing points are annotated in yellow. THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL MAP OR PREDICTION! IT IS A DRAMATIZATION PRESENTED FOR ENTERTAINMENT ONLY! DO NOT DEPEND ON IT FOR ANY REASON! DO NOT CONSIDER IT POTENTIALLY FACTUAL OR SCIENTIFICALLY RELEVANT!