De lava, de lava.

The flow isn’t dead but it hasn’t moved for ten days so we’ll see. The pools which feed it from Kilauea are almost stable. But ‘almost stable’ has a very different meaning for volcanoes.  In this recent (1950) example for instance, Mauna Loa erupted from it’s summit and reached the ocean in four hours. Read […]

UNOFFICIAL lava path prediction.

This is a completely unofficial attempt by me to predict the future.  IF the lava continues, and it is slowing as we speak, this is its likely path to the sea. Red dots over the blue line of steepest descent indicate the most probable path. Purple dots indicate the potentially worst case scenario. Yellow dots […]

Concerto in Red for a Tuesday Night.

The lava is still moving. If it isolates the “South” from the “North” everyone will know what you mean when you say “North” and “South”. The Pahoa Post Office will move to the Hilo Airport if they are given an evacuation notice or, probably, if 130 is cut – or at some other time which […]

LAVA WARNING: Update – Friday Afternoon

Update – Friday 16:00. The lava was 150 yards from Apa’a street at 14:00 and will probably cross the road today tomorrow. As a practical matter, that simply means that the properties in Shores and Beaches are now in ACTIVE Lava Zone 1.  Good luck ever getting insurance or a mortgage there. The property values south […]

Lava update

UPDATE 22 OCT, as of 00:01 HVO stepped right up and made a reasonable announcement. So did Civil Defense which also provided a video. Map:  http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/maps/uploads/image-164.jpg HVO: http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/activity/kilaueastatus.php CD video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npD2ItWo0xs#t=131 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ This is HVO’s assessment as of this morning. It’s a bit confusing because it presents a lot of disparate facts but does not tie […]

Saturday Morning update – Big Island – 05:00

ANA A few rain squalls today and tomorrow. No more Ana updates after this one. LAVA Stalled, not much going on. Updates as necessary, when and if. OBOLA Obama doesn’t want a travel ban, says “We can’t just cut ourselves off from West Africa”.   I kinda know why YOU can’t, particularly after being honored […]

Another non-disaster passes. Friday, 19:30

ANA I can’t seem to get excited about this. Apart from some rain squalls, it is over. There are bubbles in the bathtub but the water isn’t brown.  ************************** LAVA The most recent report from HVO says the lava feeding the outbreak tube is low.  Until it re-energizes, the flow will have to wait. Apparently […]

Friday, 11:300 Ana – Lava – Ebola

ANA Pushed past the magical number and is now a Cat1 hurricane!  But we don’t care – she can’t hit the Big Island. Here is a current satellite photo: http://wxug.us/1l86i     Ana is becoming more disorganized. She will bring some rain, heavy at times, to Hawaii. There is no possibility of Hurricane or T/S conditions […]