The symptomless incubation period for Obola can exceed 42 days. Updated today, from the wizards at WHO.
What this says is that five of every hundred people infected by Obola won’t show symptoms for 42 days or longer. The implication is that there is no way to tell whether a person was exposed and is immune, or cured, or still actively contageous between 21 days and some as-yet unknown upper time limit. One could never know whether a person who ‘showed’ the virus DNA was contageous, or cured.
It is difficult for me to understand how a ‘normal’ virus strain can have variables that wide unless there are very subtle changes in the genome that cannot be found without a complete sequence and comparison of the genes in every case and that isn’t possible with current technology. Isolation is the only safe procedure, and now there may not be an upper time limit.
If that were true, there would be almost no other possibility than it is a weaponized strain; otherwise it could never mutate in that way, or in other ways we may not even know yet. There is another post above this one regarding a US invasion of Liberia. It might be an interesting read.
I believe that most people will accept a 21 day isolation – but when you start talking over 40 days, not so much. There is no place to put them anyway. Even the mythical FEMA death camps wouldn’t work. Against a variable weaponized strain, vaccinations, even if one existed, would only work sporadically if at all.
What is particularly troublesome is that in the initial stages, people are simply quarantined for 21 days and pronounced ‘cured’. We don’t know that. It could have been mixed with something like Herpes and might only become contageous every few months without affecting the host.
I don’t want to get carried away, but I know that if I set the specifications of a weaponized virus and had the resources to construct it, it would be not be a good thing, but no one would know how bad it actually was until it was too late to control.
That would be after the initial group of patients either lived or died and the ones who lived were released as ‘cured’ until they caught the flu or a cold or any of a thousand possibilities – and it turned on again and began morphing in every person it touched.