Lava Prediction, 29 September, 21:30

The lava advanced ~75 feet yesterday, but not to the front.  It’s no closer to 130 than it was when it stopped.  The good news is that there is a pretty good picture to go along with the topo.  http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/maps/uploads/image-133.jpg I am sure some enterprising person beside me has overlaid the picture and the topo. […]

Lava Prediction, 28 September, 19:30

My hiatus didn’t last very long.  The lava front moved ~75 feet today. That’s statistically unimportant, but it did move.  They didn’t say how wide it was, but at that rate it could reach highway 130 by about…Sunday, January 11, 2015.  However, 75 feet a day is not much faster than three feet an hour […]

Lava Prediction, 26 September, 19:30

The current lava map is here:    http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/maps/uploads/image-132.jpg The lava looks stalled to me.  County Civil Defense isn’t going to do another overflight until Monday, so they don’t see much imminent danger. My prediction that the lava flow would stop before it impacted Pahoa is correct at this point in time.  Therefore I shall cease […]