The crane! The crane!

I don't know if anyone has even noticed – and I haven't been to the Fukushima website for some time – but that thing standing next to R1 is a lattice-boom construction crane. I haven't tracked down the manufacturer, but it is probably on tracks and is probably rated at about 800 tonnes.  Nothing in that place weighs that much except reactor containments.

I wonder if some fvcking moron decided that, since those reactor containments were set in by crane that they could just be snatched out and buried somewhere?  Because if they tried to do that and set those cores to fissioning again, you'd expect to see readings like they are seeing – and they won't be coming down anytime soon.

The gun redux-redux

“The Gun Is Civilization” by Maj. L. Caudill USMC (Ret)

Human beings only have two ways to deal with one another: Reason and Force. If you want me to do something for you, you have a choice of either convincing me via argument, or force me to do your bidding under threat of force. Every human interaction falls into one of those two categories, without exception. Reason or force, that's it.

In a truly moral and civilized society, people exclusively interact through persuasion. Force has no place as a valid method of social interaction, and the only thing that removes force from the menu is the personal firearm, as paradoxical as it may sound to some.

When I carry a gun, you cannot deal with me by force. You have to use reason and try to persuade me, because I have a way to negate your threat or employment of force.

The gun is the only personal weapon that puts a 100-pound woman on equal footing with a 220-pound mugger, a 75-year old retiree on equal footing with a 19-year old gang banger, and a single guy on equal footing with a carload of drunk guys with baseball bats. The gun removes the disparity in physical strength, size, or numbers between a potential attacker and a defender.

There are plenty of people who consider the gun as the source of bad force equations. These are the people who think that we'd be more civilized if all guns were removed from society, because a firearm makes it easier for a [armed] mugger to do his job. That, of course, is only true if the mugger's potential victims are mostly disarmed either by choice or by legislative fiat–it has no validity when most of a mugger's potential marks are armed.

People who argue for the banning of arms ask for automatic rule by the young, the strong, and the many, and that's the exact opposite of a civilized society. A mugger, even an armed one, can only make a successful living in a society where the state has granted him a force monopoly.

Then there's the argument that the gun makes confrontations lethal that otherwise would only result in injury.This argument is fallacious in several ways. Without guns involved, confrontations are won by the physically superior party inflicting overwhelming injury on the loser.

People who think that fists, bats, sticks, or stones don't constitute lethal force watch too much TV, where people take beatings and come out of it with a bloody lip at worst.The fact that the gun makes lethal force easier works solely in favor of the weaker defender, not the stronger attacker. If both are armed, the field is level.

The gun is the only weapon that's as lethal in the hands of an octogenarian as it is in the hands of a weight lifter. It simply wouldn't work as well as a force equalizer if it wasn't both lethal and easily employable.

When I carry a gun, I don't do so because I am looking for a fight, but because I'm looking to be left alone. The gun at my side means that I cannot be forced, only persuaded. I don't carry it because I'm afraid, but because it enables me to be unafraid. It doesn't limit the actions of those who would interact with me through reason, only the actions of those who would do so by force. It removes force from the equation… and that's why carrying a gun is a civilized act.

By Maj. L. Caudill USMC (Ret.)

”So the greatest civilization is one where all citizens are equally armed and can only be persuaded, never forced.”

Financial blog? Who woulda thought?

It never occurred to me that I would blog financial matters since they don't interest me.  What does interest me though, is why things happen – it's usually for a reason.  So Last night I said the markets were haywire and made no sense.  This morning it is sorting out a bit.  We are in Depression v2.0.  It will last for many years and whatever comes out of it won't be the country we grew up in.

All the indices are down except the dollar and the Nikkei and that's only because the Japanese government intervened.  Gold has fluctuated $45 today and is hanging around $1650, $30 off it's high. Crude oil is down to 86 at this hour.  That's not trading. Those are margin calls.  Silver is down to 39 and platinum and palladium are both down as well – as it should be with a strong dollar – but it shouldn't be on margin calls.  Investors are no longer driving the market.  The market is driving itself and the richest of the rich are sitting home on piles of cash.  They will spend their trillions when they can buy everything for a penny on the dollar and the US economy has to crash for that to happen.

Gold is still too high.  The DOW is down almost 400.  Not a big deal at 11,500, but it is about to head down.  When it does, it will end up at about 4,000.  When that happens, we have a problem.  The government has no more rabbits to pull out of it's hat.

The exchange rates finally make a little more sense.  The Swiss Franc is up against the dollar and everything else is down.  When Europe implodes, the dollar may get a lot stronger which is good for everyone else and bad for us, but we are screwed anyway.  You can and should expect local governments to start crashing.  You can and should expect the social order to break down at some point and you should have a VIABLE plan to deal with it.

If you don't have access to sufficient food and water, right now, you had better find a source other than the supermarket. 

This can't happen.

Every economic indicator in the world is up.  Every major traded currency is down against the dollar.  But gold is still going up and, at $1664, is less than $100 off Platinum.

Obviously it's not impossible, but it's crazy.  Even assuming that gold is floating in a free market – which I doubt – there is no reason for it to be going up with the dollar.
Platinum is down.  Palladium is down.  Silver is down.  But gold is still going up with the dollar. That's wrong.  As the dollar strengthens, gold stabilizes.  The only reason it wouldn't is if the entire world decided all of their currencies were in the tank, but you get back to the same question.  Why is the dollar up against every other currency and gold is still going up?
I ask that for a reason.  If every fiat currency in the world fails, they will have to fail against the dollar.  If the dollar fails, it will have to fail against …. what? Not PM. The dollar is not pegged to PM.  But China's currency is still pegged to the dollar.  Hmmmm…..the question them becomes who gains most with a strong dollar?  And the answer is – everyone except the United States.
  

This can’t happen.

Every economic indicator in the world is up.  Every major traded currency is down against the dollar.  But gold is still going up and, at $1664, is less than $100 off Platinum.

Obviously it's not impossible, but it's crazy.  Even assuming that gold is floating in a free market – which I doubt – there is no reason for it to be going up with the dollar.

Platinum is down.  Palladium is down.  Silver is down.  But gold is still going up with the dollar. That's wrong.  As the dollar strengthens, gold stabilizes.  The only reason it wouldn't is if the entire world decided all of their currencies were in the tank, but you get back to the same question.  Why is the dollar up against every other currency and gold is still going up?

I ask that for a reason.  If every fiat currency in the world fails, they will have to fail against the dollar.  If the dollar fails, it will have to fail against …. what? Not PM. The dollar is not pegged to PM.  But China's currency is still pegged to the dollar.  Hmmmm…..the question them becomes who gains most with a strong dollar?  And the answer is – everyone except the United States.